Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000065 0.000069 0.000072 0.000076 0.000080 0.000084
2025-03-16 0.000057 0.000062 0.000066 0.000072 0.000078 0.000085 0.000093
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000060 0.000066 0.000073 0.000081 0.000091 0.000102
2025-03-30 0.000052 0.000057 0.000064 0.000072 0.000082 0.000093 0.000108
2025-04-06 0.000048 0.000054 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080 0.000093 0.000109
2025-04-13 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000067 0.000078 0.000091 0.000109
2025-04-20 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000076 0.000090 0.000109
2025-04-27 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000111
2025-05-04 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000077 0.000094 0.000118
2025-05-11 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000097 0.000125
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000046 0.000055 0.000067 0.000082 0.000104 0.000137
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104 0.000139
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000080 0.000103 0.000140
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081 0.000106 0.000147
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000042 0.000051 0.000064 0.000083 0.000111 0.000158
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083 0.000112 0.000163
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000081 0.000110 0.000162
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046 0.000059 0.000078 0.000107 0.000159
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000036 0.000044 0.000057 0.000076 0.000104 0.000156
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000056 0.000074 0.000104 0.000157
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000056 0.000076 0.000108 0.000168
2025-08-03 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000057 0.000078 0.000112 0.000178
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000059 0.000082 0.000120 0.000198